Secular Cycles
juuli 2009 · Princeton University Press
3,0star
1 arvustusreport
E-raamat
360
lehekülge
family_home
Sobilik
info
reportHinnangud ja arvustused pole kinnitatud. Lisateave
Teave selle e-raamatu kohta
Many historical processes exhibit recurrent patterns of change. Century-long periods of population expansion come before long periods of stagnation and decline; the dynamics of prices mirror population oscillations; and states go through strong expansionist phases followed by periods of state failure, endemic sociopolitical instability, and territorial loss. Peter Turchin and Sergey Nefedov explore the dynamics and causal connections between such demographic, economic, and political variables in agrarian societies and offer detailed explanations for these long-term oscillations--what the authors call secular cycles.
Secular Cycles elaborates and expands upon the demographic-structural theory first advanced by Jack Goldstone, which provides an explanation of long-term oscillations. This book tests that theory's specific and quantitative predictions by tracing the dynamics of population numbers, prices and real wages, elite numbers and incomes, state finances, and sociopolitical instability. Turchin and Nefedov study societies in England, France, and Russia during the medieval and early modern periods, and look back at the Roman Republic and Empire. Incorporating theoretical and quantitative history, the authors examine a specific model of historical change and, more generally, investigate the utility of the dynamical systems approach in historical applications.
An indispensable and groundbreaking resource for a wide variety of social scientists, Secular Cycles will interest practitioners of economic history, historical sociology, complexity studies, and demography.
Secular Cycles elaborates and expands upon the demographic-structural theory first advanced by Jack Goldstone, which provides an explanation of long-term oscillations. This book tests that theory's specific and quantitative predictions by tracing the dynamics of population numbers, prices and real wages, elite numbers and incomes, state finances, and sociopolitical instability. Turchin and Nefedov study societies in England, France, and Russia during the medieval and early modern periods, and look back at the Roman Republic and Empire. Incorporating theoretical and quantitative history, the authors examine a specific model of historical change and, more generally, investigate the utility of the dynamical systems approach in historical applications.
An indispensable and groundbreaking resource for a wide variety of social scientists, Secular Cycles will interest practitioners of economic history, historical sociology, complexity studies, and demography.
Hinnangud ja arvustused
3,0
1 arvustus
Teave autori kohta
Peter Turchin is professor of ecology and evolutionary biology and adjunct professor of mathematics at the University of Connecticut. Sergey A. Nefedov is senior research scientist at the Institute of History and Archaeology of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Ural Branch.
Hinnake seda e-raamatut
Andke meile teada, mida te arvate.
Lugemisteave
Nutitelefonid ja tahvelarvutid
Installige rakendus Google Play raamatud Androidile ja iPadile/iPhone'ile. See sünkroonitakse automaatselt teie kontoga ja see võimaldab teil asukohast olenemata lugeda nii võrgus kui ka võrguühenduseta.
Sülearvutid ja arvutid
Google Playst ostetud audioraamatuid saab kuulata arvuti veebibrauseris.
E-lugerid ja muud seadmed
E-tindi seadmetes (nt Kobo e-lugerid) lugemiseks peate faili alla laadima ja selle oma seadmesse üle kandma. Failide toetatud e-lugeritesse teisaldamiseks järgige üksikasjalikke abikeskuse juhiseid.
