Make or Break: How the next three years will shape South Africa’s next three decades
Sep 2016 · Penguin Random House South Africa
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About this ebook
The next three years will determine whether South Africa succeeds or fails in the long term.
• Jacob Zuma’s term as president is due to end in 2019, though he could go earlier. Who will succeed him and what will be the impact on policy?
• The ANC’s dominance has been significantly dented after opposition parties gained ground in the 2016 local government elections, but will the minority and coalition governments in key cities hold or fall apart?
• The economy is in trouble, and the National Treasury has been buffeted by a struggle for power at the centre of government. Will Pravin Gordhan and his band of reformers survive and succeed?
• The public protector’s term ends in October 2016. Will her successor hold the line?
• The judiciary is under pressure, and several positions have opened up on the Constitutional Court bench. Will the rule of law be maintained?
Looking at these and other issues, Richard Calland presents scenarios for the country’s future, showing how the next few years are the most critical since the early 1990s, and how South Africa can set itself on a path to success or failure. It really is make or break time.
• Jacob Zuma’s term as president is due to end in 2019, though he could go earlier. Who will succeed him and what will be the impact on policy?
• The ANC’s dominance has been significantly dented after opposition parties gained ground in the 2016 local government elections, but will the minority and coalition governments in key cities hold or fall apart?
• The economy is in trouble, and the National Treasury has been buffeted by a struggle for power at the centre of government. Will Pravin Gordhan and his band of reformers survive and succeed?
• The public protector’s term ends in October 2016. Will her successor hold the line?
• The judiciary is under pressure, and several positions have opened up on the Constitutional Court bench. Will the rule of law be maintained?
Looking at these and other issues, Richard Calland presents scenarios for the country’s future, showing how the next few years are the most critical since the early 1990s, and how South Africa can set itself on a path to success or failure. It really is make or break time.
About the author
Richard Calland is one of South Africa’s most incisive political analysts. During a fifteen year career at IDASA, he also founded a number of organisations, including the Parliamentary Monitoring Group (PMG), the DGRU and Judges Matter, as well as the Council for the Advancement of the South African Constitution (CASAC). He is now an associate professor in public law at UCT, a Fellow of the University of Cambridge Institute for Sustainability Leadership and a co-founding partner of political risk advisory The Paternoster Group. Earlier publications include Thabo Mbeki’s World, Anatomy of South Africa, The Zuma Years and Make or Break.
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