Predictive Behavior: An Experimental Study
Gunnar Brennscheidt
dek, 2012 · Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems 403-kitob · Springer Science & Business Media
E-kitob
227
Sahifalar soni
reportReytinglar va sharhlar tasdiqlanmagan Batafsil
Bu e-kitob haqida
This book describes a series of laboratory experiments (with a total of 167 independent subjects) on forecasting behavior. In all experiments, the time series to be forecasted was generated by an abstract econometric model involving two or three artificial exogenous variables. This designprovides an optimal background for rational expectations and least-squares learning. As expected, these hypotheses do not explain observed forecasting behavior satisfactorily. Some phenomena related to this lack of rationality are studied: Concentration on changes rather than levels,underestimation of changes and overvaluation of volatile exogenous variables. Some learning behavior is observed. Finally, some aspects of individual forecasts such as prominence of "round" number, dispersion, etc.,are studied.
Bu e-kitobni baholang
Fikringizni bildiring.
Qayerda o‘qiladi
Smartfonlar va planshetlar
Android va iPad/iPhone uchun mo‘ljallangan Google Play Kitoblar ilovasini o‘rnating. U hisobingiz bilan avtomatik tazrda sinxronlanadi va hatto oflayn rejimda ham kitob o‘qish imkonini beradi.
Noutbuklar va kompyuterlar
Google Play orqali sotib olingan audiokitoblarni brauzer yordamida tinglash mumkin.
Kitob o‘qish uchun mo‘ljallangan qurilmalar
Kitoblarni Kobo e-riderlar kabi e-siyoh qurilmalarida oʻqish uchun faylni yuklab olish va qurilmaga koʻchirish kerak. Fayllarni e-riderlarga koʻchirish haqida batafsil axborotni Yordam markazidan olishingiz mumkin.
