Predicting Fiscal Crises
ኦገስ 2018 · International Monetary Fund
ኢ-መጽሐፍ
42
ገጾች
reportየተሰጡት ደረጃዎች እና ግምገማዎች የተረጋገጡ አይደሉም የበለጠ ለመረዳት
ስለዚህ ኢ-መጽሐፍ
This paper identifies leading indicators of fiscal crises based on a large sample of countries at different stages of development over 1970-2015. Our results are robust to different methodologies and sample periods. Previous literature on early warning sistems (EWS) for fiscal crises is scarce and based on small samples of advanced and emerging markets, raising doubts about the robustness of the results. Using a larger sample, our analysis shows that both nonfiscal (external and internal imbalances) and fiscal variables help predict crises among advanced and emerging economies. Our models performed well in out-of-sample forecasting and in predicting the most recent crises, a weakness of EWS in general. We also build EWS for low income countries, which had been overlooked in the literature.
ለዚህ ኢ-መጽሐፍ ደረጃ ይስጡ
ምን እንደሚያስቡ ይንገሩን።
የንባብ መረጃ
ዘመናዊ ስልኮች እና ጡባዊዎች
የGoogle Play መጽሐፍት መተግበሪያውን ለAndroid እና iPad/iPhone ያውርዱ። ከእርስዎ መለያ ጋር በራስሰር ይመሳሰላል እና ባሉበት የትም ቦታ በመስመር ላይ እና ከመስመር ውጭ እንዲያነቡ ያስችልዎታል።
ላፕቶፖች እና ኮምፒውተሮች
የኮምፒውተርዎን ድር አሳሽ ተጠቅመው በGoogle Play ላይ የተገዙ ኦዲዮ መጽሐፍትን ማዳመጥ ይችላሉ።
ኢሪደሮች እና ሌሎች መሳሪያዎች
እንደ Kobo ኢ-አንባቢዎች ባሉ ኢ-ቀለም መሣሪያዎች ላይ ለማንበብ ፋይል አውርደው ወደ መሣሪያዎ ማስተላለፍ ይኖርብዎታል። ፋይሎቹን ወደሚደገፉ ኢ-አንባቢዎች ለማስተላለፍ ዝርዝር የእገዛ ማዕከል መመሪያዎቹን ይከተሉ።
