Managing Safety of Heterogeneous Systems: Decisions under Uncertainties and Risks

Yuri Ermoliev · Marek Makowski · Kurt Marti

2012-ж. янв. · Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems 658-китеп · Springer Science & Business Media

Электрондук китеп

378

Барактар

Рейтинг жана сын-пикирлер текшерилген жок Кеңири маалымат

Учкай маалымат

Managing safety of diverse systems requires decision-making under uncertainties and risks. Such systems are typically characterized by spatio-temporal heterogeneities, inter-dependencies, externalities, endogenous risks, discontinuities, irreversibility, practically irreducible uncertainties, and rare events with catastrophic consequences. Traditional scientific approaches rely on data from real observations and experiments; yet no sufficient observations exist for new problems, and experiments are usually impossible. Therefore, science-based support for addressing such new class of problems needs to replace the traditional “deterministic predictions” analysis by new methods and tools for designing decisions that are robust against the involved uncertainties and risks. The new methods treat uncertainties explicitly by using “synthetic” information derived by integration of “hard” elements, including available data, results of possible experiments, and formal representations of scientific facts, with “soft” elements based on diverse representations of scenarios and opinions of public, stakeholders, and experts. The volume presents such effective new methods, and illustrates their applications in different problem areas, including engineering, economy, finance, agriculture, environment, and policy making.

Автор жөнүндө

Ermoliev, Y.: Professor, Institute Scholar, and Senior Researcher, Integrated Modeling Environment (IME) Project, International Institute for Applied System Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria. Research: modeling of decision-making processes under risks and uncertainties, stochastic and dynamic system optimization.

Makowski, M.: Dr., Leader, Integrated Modeling Environment (IME) Project, International Institute for Applied System Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria. Research: model-based decision-making support, structured modeling, integrated model analysis, multiple-criteria problem analysis.

Marti, K.: o.Univ.Professor for Engineering Mathematics, Federal Armed Forces University Munich, Aerospace Engineering and Technology, Neubiberg/Munich, Germany. Research: Stochastic Optimization Methods in Engineering

Бул электрондук китепти баалаңыз

Оюңуз менен бөлүшүп коюңуз.

Окуу маалыматы

Смартфондор жана планшеттер

Android жана iPad/iPhone үчүн Google Play Китептер колдонмосун орнотуңуз. Ал автоматтык түрдө аккаунтуңуз менен шайкештелип, кайда болбоңуз, онлайнда же оффлайнда окуу мүмкүнчүлүгүн берет.

Ноутбуктар жана компьютерлер

Google Play'ден сатылып алынган аудиокитептерди компьютериңиздин веб браузеринен уга аласыз.

eReaders жана башка түзмөктөр

Kobo eReaders сыяктуу электрондук сыя түзмөктөрүнөн окуу үчүн, файлды жүктөп алып, аны түзмөгүңүзгө өткөрүшүңүз керек. Файлдарды колдоого алынган eReaders'ке өткөрүү үчүн Жардам борборунун нускамаларын аткарыңыз.

Мыйзамсыз нерсе жөнүндө кабарлоо